Thursday, February 21, 2008

Hoax of the week: RCAM / Joseph Chikelue Obi

Well, anyone can call themselves professor, "Eminent Black British Human Rights Crusader" and "Undisputed Doyen of Medical Politics", set up a dodgy organisation, ask for loads of cash and sue the hell out of anyone who openly critises them. Of course, after being banned from practising medicine after, amongst other things, failing to administer blood-thinners to an emergency patient suffering a heart attack, setting up your own society of alternative medicine is the way to go. When said organisation then shows up on a site called the quackometer (obvious function), of course you threaten to sue the ISP, which then takes the site down.
The above is true, it's no hoax (plenty of other blog entries and an overview here at the register), but in my personal opinion the RCAM deserve an entry as "Hoax of the week".

Sunday, November 04, 2007

Jumping to incorrect conclusions pt.1

Not that there are likely more parts to follow...

There's a study entitled "Depression among Adults Employed Full-Time, by Occupational Category" over here. Very nice to see that 'Life, physical and social science' is near rock-bottom when it comes having been depressed between 2004 and 2006. The only happier bunch of people are those working in "Engineering, Architecture and surveyors". The last table shows that both males and females are happiest in 'Life, physical and social science'. Hold on, they score lower in the overall score table. Now let's jump in a completely scientifically incorrect manner: For these lines of work, it doesn't matter what you do, as long as there aren't too many women around to make you depressed. If you take the numbers of the two mentioned categories, you can work out that the ration men:women is. For the sciences it's 1.3:1 and for the Architects etc it's 6.8:1. Fewer women, lower overall depression rate. But why not the other way round? Are the men depressing the women and driving up the female depression rate, compensating the fact that there are less of them? No, there are no men in "Personal care and Service" and still women have a depression rate higher than the depression rate of males in any occupational category...
And that's how to draw completely wrong conclusions (on my part) based on what might be valid data (haven't looked into it that well).

Wednesday, October 31, 2007

Cars, fuel & the environment

Rant alert!

So, as usual: we're all doomed. If it isn't that comet that's heading for earth and is expected to pass within lunar orbit in 2036 that finishes us off, it'll be our own doing in the form pollution beyond repair. Now, I'm not saying we shouldn't be watching the environment - I'm just not convinced that what's being done makes sense. The following are all thoughts on comments made in the media, or recent popularised developments.

First off: The cars, but more importantly, the trucks themselves. Recently there was news coverage of a trucking convention - a show where the latest developments in trucks were showcased. It featured a hydrogen truck, and a hybrid truck. Both of them weren't too popular (yet) and a critic mentioned that it was all show anyway - nothing ever changes and trucks were the most polluting vehicles on the road, using 1 litre of fuel to travel 3 km (1:3). This is, of course, a bad argument as to why they are so polluting. Say a truck carries 25 tonnes of freight, and a car can carry half a tonne (crude estimates). If you have a very fuel-economical car it might do 1:25 (optimism ain't dead yet). To carry 25 tonnes, you need 50 cars, which would be equivalent to a single vehicle doing 1:0.5. In other words: a truck is more efficient than a car.
Hybrid cars and especially hydrogen vehicles, combined with new plans by Dutch ministers, do solve overcrowding problems in the Netherlands. A large percentage of cyclists has no clue about traffic safety, and many use headphones on the bike. Combine this with very silent tires (the ones that NL wants to make compulsory) on silently running electrical cars...

In the above rant fuel already features a prominent role. But there's more. Hydrogen is all nice and dandy, but it is only used as an energy store (as any fuel is merely a store). The question is: where do you get the energy from to create hydrogen? If you're burning fossil fuel to get this energy, you're just geographically shifting the pollution. So aside from the fact that hydrogen is hard to come by at present - it also requires a large investment in durable energy.
One source would of course be solar energy (according to pop-sci channels the earth takes up 8 times more energy then we need on earth - although I wonder how much we need to keep the earth warm). One way of harnessing this power is by - well let nature do it for you. Grow plants, harvest plants, convert energy stored in sugars within the plants. In most cases this is done by converting sugars to ethanol, which burns well and can be used to power vehicles. Brazil started a huge biofuel project in the 70's, and it's still running. They use sugar cane. The US uses corn, and went from no usage to moderate usage overnight. The corn price tripled overnight, meaning that in countries like mexico the poor could no longer afford their food and the meat prices doubled on their own market. Also, the way that it's being grown and refined, may actually cause more pollution and may cost more energy than it's yielding. This is certainly the case for palm oil, a lot of which comes from Indonesia. The problem here is that the land on which the palms are being grown are being cleared by burning down the natural forests of the country. As far as carbon emissions go, this is worse than traffic.

As a final, not so directly related note: Discovery Channel is opting for the 'most of us will be dead soon anyway'-approach. Their future cars programme is advertised with a short that acts as if it's selling a car to you. You being number 48095 or something 5 digit like. Seeing as they indicate a globalised economy (the car is 2 million credits) you'd expect that ID numbers would also be global. In other words - they don't expect more than 100000 registered people by then. I guess that'll turn out to be the most interesting future vision the programme will have on offer.

Sunday, October 07, 2007

The most confusing one yet...

It's inevitable that occasionally you'll run into the 'my belief is the only true belief because...' argumentation. The one I really don't get is (specific religion removed, as it applies to all):
'The [insert name of holy scripture] wasn't written in one day, and has been printed millions of time [so it must be true]'.
I think I'm finally getting a dose of religion: the one true religion is (in this light) the one which has the highest number of copies of scriptures by which it advertises itself and teaches its followers. The results are in: Time to go to your local IKEA shop to worship - it's catalogue is not made in a day and is the single publication that has the highest print numbers to this day.
In other words: I can barely comprehend why anyone would use the above argumentation at all - all it achieves with me is that I'm less inclined to give any other arguments put forward by the same speaker any thought.
IKEA-ism not your thing? Unconfirmed reports (Guinness World Records) mention that the Bible is the most sold book (the IKEA catalogue is free!) and somewhere else is mentioned that the Red book comes in second. Where the Qu'ran and other scriptures fit in, I don't know... As for believing the 'old and wise', I don't know which is referenced first, the Bible, or the Kama Sutra.

Sunday, September 30, 2007

Back from the UK

So the quick-ish trip to the UK is over. Taking the bus from Canterbury to Oxford to Utrecht is perhaps not the quickest of routes, and means you don't get much sleep in the two days that you spread the journey over. Anyway, Oxford was still pretty much the same except for the fact that smoking is banned pretty much everywhere (good) and that I finally managed to run into the animal rights activists. The latter (about twenty people) take up position opposite of the building site (3m high walls, fortified) of a new lab every thursday and, whatched by police, stand there, occasionally chanting and mostly trying to peddle flyers to people who aren't interested whilst reading from experiment reports to people who aren't interested. Bonus points for preseverance, though serious deductions for making the whole movement look ab-so-lutely pathetic. That, combined with the result of a law case, has classified them as 'mostly harmless, although they can sometimes get a bit loud' by the locals.
Meanwhile, back in Utrecht: the project I hope to work on is being tweaked a little, a process that I get to have influence on. With the UU computer system now showing me that apparently I passed my Master's (I think the terminology can still be tweaked), things are getting underway. More later.